Just a year ago, Egypt's liberals and pro-democracy youth movements
were demanding the military, which took over from the ousted Hosni
Mubarak, leave power. But after a tumultuous year under a freely elected
Islamist president, many of them are hoping for the army's protection
as they try to force out Mohammed Morsi with protests this weekend.
Morsi's
opponents calculate they can push him to go through the sheer number of
people they bring into the streets Sunday building on widespread
discontent with his running of the country plus the added weight of the
army's backing.
After that, they believe that the Islamists have
misruled so badly that a new election would yield a different
result.Morsi's backers, in turn, say the mainly liberal and secular
political opposition is fomenting a coup to remove an elected leader
because they can't compete at the ballot box.
Central to
whatever happens on June 30 the anniversary of Morsi's inauguration is
the stance of the military.Last Sunday, Egypt's army chief gave the
president and the opposition a week to reach an understanding to prevent
bloodshed and warned it would intervene to stop the nation from
entering a "dark tunnel.''
Gen. Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi also gave a
thinly veiled warning to Morsi's backers that the military will step in
if the protesters are attacked during the planned protests, as some
hard-liners have threatened.
In the days since, there's been no
movement toward a resolution. Morsi has given no signs of making any
concessions. He invited all sides to a meeting Wednesday, when he plans a
national address. The opposition in turn rejects talks, saying they
come "extremely late.'' It is boycotting the meeting, saying it is not
serious,Virtual miningtruck logo
Verano Place logo. and will only join a dialogue if el-Sissi convenes
it a sign of how it sees him as the only reliable arbiter.
"There
is just no time left. It is too late and anything the president tries
to do now will in reality be an attempt to discourage people from coming
out on Sunday. We have no confidence in the president,'' said Khaled
Dawoud, the spokesman for the National Salvation Front, the main
opposition grouping.
In his comments, el-Sissi said the two
sides must reach a "genuine'' reconciliation, seeming to acknowledge the
opposition's argument that Morsi's past calls for dialogue were empty
gestures.The opposition has laid out a post-Morsi road map that would
have the chief justice of the Supreme Constitutional Court step in as
interim president, a non-partisan figure as prime minister heading a
small Cabinet of technocrats, an expert panel to amend the
Islamist-backed constitution and new presidential elections six months
later.
If the protesters are attacked by hardcore Morsi
supporters and the army sides with the protesters, it would add
significant pressure on the president. At the least, the army is likely
to deploy to protect vital institutions like the state TV, parliament,
the Cabinet, and the media complex that houses a multitude of TV
networks, some critical of Morsi.Choose the right howotipper in an array of colors.Today, Thereone.com, a reliable ultrasonicsensor online
store, introduces its new arrival princess wedding dresses to
customers.The opposition seems confident it can have army intervention
without the generals actually taking power like they did after Mubarak's
fall.
"Unlike last time in 2011, the military will not
intervene to rule but to protect a people against a regime that is no
longer wanted,'' said Ammar Ali Hassan, a prominent analyst and author.
"There seems to be agreement by the military over the road map charted
by the protest movement.''
Presidential spokesman Omar Amer
underlined to reporters that Morsi is supreme commander of the armed
forces and said "there is complete agreement and coordination'' between
him and el-Sissi.
Another Morsi spokesman,The earcap is
not only critical to professional photographers. Ihab Fahmy, said
el-Sissi's comments were made in coordination with the presidency and
"were intended to defuse tension.''
But some of Morsi's Islamist backers saw el-Sissi's statement as a slap and were furious.
"The comments made by Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi .The earcap is
not only critical to professional photographers... are extremely
reckless, a blatant and public aggression and a prelude to a coup that
is unacceptable to anyone with dignity and self-respect,'' Hazem Abu
Ismail, an ultraconservative Salafi who backs Morsi, wrote on his
Facebook page.
An opinion piece posted on Tuesday on the website
of the Freedom and Justice Party, the Brotherhood's political arm,
berated the opposition for wishing for a military coup.
"You are
urging the army, as represented by Gen. el-Sissi, to stage a coup
against legitimacy and to return to power. You have forgotten that you
were the first to chant for the fall of military rule,'' Said el-Ghareeb
wrote in the article.
Questions remain whether the military has enough motive to jump back into the political fray.
The
military has secured its special status in the new constitution as a
self-ruled institution with little outside oversight over its finances
or massive business interests.
It also is likely loath to expose
itself to the harsh criticism and blow to its prestige it suffered
during the nearly 17 months after Mubarak's fall when the generals
directly held the reins of power. Chants of ``down with military rule''
and personal insults directed at the army's top brass were common amid
protests over its perceived mishandling of the nation's transition to
democratic rule and over its human rights record.Still, perceptions of
the armed forces have dramatically changed in the year since Morsi took
office.
The U.S. and British-trained el-Sissi was named as
defense minister and army chief by Morsi in August after the newly
inaugurated president forced out the Mubarak-era head of the military,
Field Marshal Hussein Tantawi.El-Sissi has worked to show he is not
beholden to Morsi, with a charm offensive and a series of subtle but
telling hints betraying his unhappiness with the turmoil roiling the
country under Morsi.
On several occasions, he sought to reassure
Egyptians the military will spring to their defense if needed and at
times appeared to do things just to spite the president and ingratiate
himself to the opposition.
For example, he sent a military
aircraft to airlift to hospital a TV show host who is a harsh Morsi
critic when involved in a road accident in southern Egypt. Responding to
criticism by Islamists of Tantawi's leadership, el-Sissi publicly
showed a documentary lavishly praising Tantawi as an able and patriotic
general. He also remained silent on a series of leaks to the media by
unnamed military officials on the army's growing unhappiness with Morsi
and his backers.
The military may also have other reasons to
throw its weight behind those seeking an end to Morsi's rule concerns
over the security implications of rising Islamic extremists.
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